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Uncertain,,about,,the,,condition,,of,,the,,British,,banking,,system,,,investors,,began,,shifting,,money,,out,,of,,London,,,steadily,,draining,,reserves,,from,,the,,Bank,,of,,England.,,As,international,liquidity,grew,scarce,,central,banks,and,private,investors,searched,desperately,for,other,assets,,that,is,,alternatives,to,the,dollar,and,sterling,that,were,liquid,and,promised,to,hold,their,value.,Meanwhile,,the,imbalance,between,U.S.,Countries,in,crisis,will,have,no,choice,but,to,proceed,down,the,road,of,fiscal,austerity.,Countries,,,still,,,on,,,the,,,gold,,,standard,,,saw,,,their,,,exports,,,stagnate,,,and,,,experienced,,,rapidly,,,rising,,,unemployment.,,,

All,this,implies,that,the,euro,will,at,best,remain,the,weak,currency,of,a,permanently,troubled,Europe.,bank,,failures,,that,,hit,,toward,,the,,end,,of,,1931.,,Having,,,been,,,burned,,,once,,,already,,,,those,,,banks,,,were,,,now,,,not,,,shy,,,about,,,liquidating,,,their,,,sterling,,,balances.,,,Of,,course,,,by,,piling,,into,,,say,,,Swiss,,francs,,,investors,,could,,drive,,up,,the,,franc's,,exchange,,rate,,and,,increase,,the,,effective,,capitalization,,of,,the,,Swiss,,bond,,market,,measured,,in,,dollars,,and,,euros.,,It,,is,,crucial,,to,,understand,,these,,two,,historical,,precedents,,in,,order,,to,,gauge,,what,,might,,happen,,today,,if,,there,,were,,full-blown,,crises,,of,,confidence,,in,,both,,the,,dollar,,and,,the,,euro.,,Disorderly,,exchange-rate,,movements,,disrupted,,trade,,flows,,,making,,it,,harder,,for,,countries,,to,,export,,their,,way,,out,,of,,the,,Depression.,,European,,,countries,,,found,,,the,,,costs,,,too,,,high,,,,and,,,France,,,pulled,,,out,,,in,,,1967.,,,In,,contrast,,,the,,systemic,,failure,,of,,the,,1970s,,,although,,potentially,,just,,as,,dangerous,,,had,,far,,less,,catastrophic,,effects;,,the,,global,,economy,,was,,wounded,,,but,,not,,mortally.,,This,,situation,,would,,resemble,,the,,wake,,of,,the,,failure,,of,,Lehman,,Brothers,,in,,late,,2008,,and,,early,,2009,,,when,,dollar,,credits,,became,,scarce,,and,,international,,trade,,declined,,precipitously.,,Alternatively,,,,if,,,the,,,current,,,economic,,,and,,,financial,,,problems,,,in,,,the,,,United,,,States,,,and,,,Europe,,,translate,,,into,,,nothing,,,more,,,than,,,a,,,few,,,points,,,of,,,additional,,,inflation,,,and,,,some,,,depreciation,,,of,,,the,,,dollar,,,and,,,the,,,euro,,,against,,,other,,,currencies,,,,then,,,the,,,consequences,,,will,,,likely,,,be,,,similar,,,to,,,the,,,relatively,,,benign,,,outcome,,,of,,,the,,,collapse,,,of,,,the,,,Bretton,,,Woods,,,system,,,in,,,the,,,1970s.,,,

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Sam 3 Sep - 17:54 (2016)
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Sam 3 Sep - 17:54 (2016)
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